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On October 15th, a U.S. official stated on Wednesday that the Trump administration is considering easing sanctions on so-called "shadow fleets" of ships that have transported oil and petroleum products from countries including Russia, Iran, and Venezuela. This move aims to lower currently high global shipping rates. This comes shortly after President Trump temporarily lifted sanctions on Russian diesel fuel, a decision that drew strong criticism from Ukrainian President Zelensky, several European governments, and some Republican senators. The official revealed that the current discussion focuses on whether the U.S. should allow previously sanctioned ships to transport "legal oil." "Legal oil" here refers to crude oil or petroleum products not subject to U.S. sanctions, rather than Russian and Iranian oil restricted by sanctions. The official stated that this move aims to encourage more refined petroleum products and crude oil to be shipped out of the Gulf region.A research report from CICC states that they expect the Fed to pause rate hikes in October and resume in December. However, a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes does not necessarily mean a shift towards looser monetary policy; the Fed is likely to maintain a relatively tight policy stance over the next year.The yield on Japans 5-year government bonds fell 3.5 basis points to 2.335%.On October 15th, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics (CREW) filed a lawsuit on Wednesday against Jared Kushner, President Trumps son-in-law, seeking to prevent him from serving as a key government diplomatic envoy on a volunteer basis without disclosing his personal finances and potential conflicts of interest. CREW argues that Kushners deep involvement in major U.S. diplomatic affairs should make him a formal government employee, subject to relevant financial disclosures and ethical standards. Kushner currently runs an investment firm managing billions of dollars in foreign assets and is involved in negotiations between Israel and Hamas, Russia and Ukraine, and the U.S. and Iran. Kushners lawyers claim the lawsuit has no legal basis and state that external ethics compliance advisors and government ethics lawyers have confirmed that his volunteer service arrangements comply with regulations. The White House maintains that Kushners business activities are unrelated to diplomatic work and that he bears all related expenses himself.October 15th - South Koreas KOSPI index fell below 6000 points, down 5.59% on the day. SK Hynix fell over 7%, and Samsung Electronics fell over 6%.

AUD/USD Struggles for Near-Term Direction and Flattens Below the 0.7100 Mark

Alina Haynes

May 27, 2022 09:30

During the early European session, the AUD/USD pair drew some dip buyers at the mid-0.7000s, but unable to profit on the move. The pair was last seen trading a few pips below the 0.7100 level, almost flat for the day.

 

In the lack of any shocks in the most recent FOMC meeting minutes, the possibility that the Fed may stop the rate hike cycle later this year weighed on US Treasury bond rates. This, along with a robust equities market rebound, weakened the safe-haven US currency and boosted the risk-averse Australian dollar.

 

However, the deteriorating global economic picture should temper any optimism. Investors continue to be concerned that a more aggressive effort by major central banks to curb inflation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict might pose threats to the global economy. In turn, this functioned as a tailwind for the dollar and limited the AUD/USD pair.

 

Since the beginning of this week, spot prices have oscillated within a wider trading range, even from a technical standpoint. The price response appears to indicate that markets have already priced in the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish indication that a larger interest rate rise in June remains conceivable. This demands bullish traders' prudence.

 

Now, market investors await the US data calendar, which includes the publication of Prelim Q1 GDP, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales. The data might impact USD price dynamics and create momentum for the AUD/USD pair. Traders will continue to seek clues for short-term opportunities from the wider risk mood.

AUD/USD

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