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On October 10th, at a recent political seminar in Israel, former Israel Defense Forces Deputy Chief of Staff Yair Golan stated that Israels killing of former Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei "was a mistake and not in Israels interest." Golan said that there was originally a strategic balance when dealing with a senior, aging, and hardline leader, but after eliminating a large number of key figures, Israel has instead inherited a more extreme and violent camp. He believes that from a long-term strategic perspective, Israels situation has deteriorated, and the Netanyahu governments attempt to overthrow the Iranian regime has failed. The US and Israel launched a military operation against Iran on February 28th, resulting in the deaths of Khamenei and several senior Iranian political and military officials. In response, Iran attacked targets within Israel and several US military bases in the Middle East.Kremlin: In coordination with Iran, Russian President Vladimir Putin conveyed Iran’s views on a possible solution to the conflict to US President Donald Trump.Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed "understanding" of some of US President Donald Trumps proposals regarding easing tensions in Ukraine during the phone call.The U.S. National Hurricane Center reports that the risk of flash flooding remains due to the aftermath of Tropical Cyclone Isaias. Isaias is expected to weaken slowly today and dissipate by Sunday.According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that its troops have taken control of two settlements in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine.

As the BoJ ponders a YCC expansion, EUR/JPY continues to decline, falling below 142.60

Alina Haynes

Apr 06, 2023 11:52

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After plunging below 142.60 during the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY pair's three-day losing trend was extended. Renewed rumors of an expansion of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC) are exerting immense pressure on the cross.

 

The Japanese economy is experiencing gradual wage growth, and inflation is expected to respond to recent increases in crude oil prices. Analysts at Wells Fargo believe the BoJ will take advantage of a tactical opportunity to further modify its policy settings in the fourth quarter of 2022, and are inclined toward a meeting in October. They added that this timeframe is optimal for a smooth policy adjustment, as monetary easing from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks should alleviate yield pressure.

 

In particular, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise the target yield for 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) from 0% to 0.25% and increase the tolerance interval surrounding this target to +/- 75 basis points.

 

Accelerating PMIs in the Eurozone provide support for the European Central Bank's sustained rate hikes. (ECB). S&P Global reported a Composite PMI of 53.7 on Wednesday, which was higher than the previous release of 52.0 but below expectations of 54.1, the highest level in the past ten months.

 

According to Reuters, S&P Global issued the following statement: "Manufacturing production increased slightly, but the service sector had the greatest impact on March's accelerated growth."

 

Wednesday, ECB policymaker Boris Vuji stated regarding interest rate forecasts, "The majority of the rate-hiking cycle has passed." He added, "We may require additional rate increases to address core inflation."