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October 14th - According to sources, Portugal has selected Lufthansa Group to acquire up to 44.9% of TAP (Portugals Portuguese airline), bringing a partner to the state-owned airline and ensuring its long-term survival. Sources indicated that the Portuguese government made this decision at a cabinet meeting on Wednesday. Previously, Lufthansa and Air France-KLM Group had both submitted revised offers for TAP shares. In addition, another 5% of TAP shares are reserved for company employees. Lufthansa previously stated that TAP aligns with its multi-airline, multi-hub operating model and will strengthen the groups market position on routes from Europe to Brazil, Latin America, and Africa. The German airline also pledged to retain Lisbon as its aviation hub.According to a Redfin report, there are currently 63% more home sellers than buyers in the United States, marking the largest supply-demand gap in at least 13 years.October 14th - Market expectations are that US overall inflation will rise 0.6% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year in September. This expected year-on-year data suggests that price growth is further deviating from the Federal Reserves 2% inflation target. Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out that this CPI report comes only two weeks before the Feds next interest rate decision. Analysts stated, "Regardless of which direction the data surprises, it will affect market judgments for the next Fed meeting. This is because the Feds official PCE inflation data will not be released until after the October interest rate decision (on the evening of October 29th)."Morgan Stanley reported a third-quarter profit increase on October 14th, with its equity trading revenue significantly exceeding analysts expectations and its wealth management business setting a record for net asset growth. Morgan Stanleys earnings report released Wednesday showed that equity trading revenue reached $5.8 billion, higher than the market expectation of $4.9 billion. Meanwhile, its closely watched wealth management business attracted a record $232 billion in net asset growth. Morgan Stanley stated that half of this net asset growth was related to initial public offerings (IPOs). The banks investment banking team participated in several large IPOs this year, including SpaceXs IPO. Elon Musks aerospace company is also a client of Morgan Stanleys corporate employee services business, which provides equity incentives, retirement plans, and other executive services to corporate employees. Following the 2008 financial crisis, Morgan Stanley management restructured its business, shifting its focus more towards wealth management and reducing its reliance on trading and investment banking. Driven by a series of acquisitions, the banks wealth management business has expanded to $8.4 trillion.October 14th - According to the Financial Times, US consumers are facing a new round of grocery price increases as diesel and freight costs soar. Rising transportation costs could further drive up grocery inflation, putting pressure on grocery prices on US supermarket shelves. The rising cost of groceries could reignite this politically sensitive issue, as candidates in the US midterm elections have already made grocery prices a campaign issue.

Dow Futures Decline; Focus on CPI And Fed Meeting

Aria Thomas

Dec 12, 2022 10:17

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On Sunday evening, U.S. stock futures were trading lower as key benchmark averages plunged to 3-week lows due to rising recession concerns. Important CPI data and a highly anticipated 50 basis point rate hike from the Federal Reserve were awaited by investors.


At 6:25pm ET (11:25pm GMT), Dow Jones Futures and S&P 500 Futures were down 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 Futures were down 0.3%.


Following four consecutive months of 75 basis point rises, market participants will closely examine Tuesday's consumer price index data and Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and announcement, with policymakers projected to hike rates by 50 basis points. Moreover, market players will closely track retail sales, manufacturing and services PMIs, industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 305 points, or 0.9%, to 33,476.5 on Friday, while the S&P 500 lost 29.1 points, or 0.7%, to 3,934.4 and the NASDAQ Composite sank 77.4 points, or 0.9%, to 11,044.6. For the week, the Dow sank 2.5%, the S&P 500 fell 2.8%, and the NASDAQ fell 3.4%.


In terms of statistics, the producer price index for November increased by 0.3%, exceeding expectations of 0.2%, while the annualized growth rate decreased from 8.1% to 7.4%, surpassing expectations of 7.2%, and the Michigan consumer confidence index increased from 56.8 to 59.1, exceeding expectations of 56.8.


The 10-Year U.S. bond market interest rate was 3.584%.