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Conflict Status: 1. A drone attack caused a fire at an oil terminal in St. Petersburg, Russia. 2. Ozon, a Russian e-commerce platform, reported a fire at a logistics hub in St. Petersburg following a drone attack. 3. The governor of St. Petersburg Oblast, Russia, stated that a Ukrainian drone attack resulted in one death and five injuries. 4. Attacks on energy facilities in multiple Ukrainian regions led to power outages. 5. Zelenskyy stated that since the "energy ceasefire," Ukraines oil and gas industry has suffered 76 attacks. 6. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported hitting a cargo ship near Odessa, Ukraine. Peace Negotiations: 1. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that he is discussing a peace conference with US Presidential Envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Kushner. 2. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy does not want to negotiate and has repeatedly sabotaged negotiations. 3. Trump stated that he does not want to take actions to remove Russia from the negotiating table, and Zelenskyy does not want to end the war. Other Developments: 1. Rubio stated that Ukraine has never been granted access to StarShield. 2. Ukrainian fuel prices have increased by 46.2% in one year. 3. British media: Russias shadow fleet is suspected of using coordinated positioning to conceal its Black Sea routes. 4. Russian Deputy Prime Minister: Russia consumes 3.5 to 4 million tons of diesel fuel monthly and has a surplus available for export. 5. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Intelligence sharing between Ukraine and the US has resumed operation. 6. Zelensky accuses US President Trump of attempting to pressure Kyiv to surrender to Russia.Spot silver opened lower but then rebounded, currently trading at $57 per ounce.Spot gold opened lower on Monday, briefly falling more than $10 before rebounding slightly to $4,161 per ounce.Yemen Conflict: 1. Fighting continues between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels around Taiz, Yemens third-largest city. 2. Saudi Arabia claims a helicopter crashed due to a "technical malfunction," killing two people. The Houthis claim to have shot down a Saudi AH-6i helicopter and released footage. 3. The Houthis claim Saudi Arabia launched 110 airstrikes in 24 hours, causing more than 30 casualties. US-Iran Conflict: 4. A tugboat was attacked by an "unidentified projectile" in waters northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE. 5. Irans Defense Minister warned the US against further strategic miscalculations. 6. Iran: Has developed contingency plans for possible new "adventurous actions." 7. Irans new Defense Minister responded to Trumps "Mother of All Bombs" threat: "Look how many US soldiers will be carried out of the area." Peace Negotiations: 1. Iranian Foreign Minister: The "reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 7 days" plan remains valid. 2. US Vice President Vance: This conflict cannot be considered over until Iran makes a firm commitment and guarantees not to rebuild its nuclear program. Other developments: 1. The Iranian parliament approved Ahraki as the new defense minister. 2. Direct flights resumed between Tehran, Iran and Muscat, Oman. 3. Russian Deputy Prime Minister: The Middle East crisis has caused global markets to lose 2.2 billion barrels of oil. 4. The Egyptian Presidential Palace: Egypt will provide Saudi Arabia with all necessary and feasible support. 5. Trump posted a message supporting Netanyahus re-election campaign as Israeli prime minister. 6. Arab-Israelis are attempting to oust Netanyahu in a close election. 7. CSIS: It will take at least three years for the US Patriot missile stockpile to return to pre-war levels. 8. Iran plans to establish a Persian Gulf Data Authority; providing resources to AI companies that support hacking and killing children will face law enforcement action. Turkeys energy minister said on Sunday that a second floating natural gas production platform will be put into operation in the first quarter of 2028, thereby increasing daily natural gas production in the Black Sea region to approximately 45 million cubic meters.

GBP/USD hits 1.16 because to Truss' fiscal boost and rising BOE rates

Alina Haynes

Sep 06, 2022 15:27

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GBP/USD receives bids to retest the intraday high above 1.1590 as bulls embrace Lizz Truss' leadership amid expectations of a large stimulus and a push to the Bank of England (BOE). Consequently, throughout Tuesday's Asian session, the Cable pair led the G10 currency pairs with intraday gains of 0.65%.

 

"Incoming Prime Minister Liz Truss has drafted plans to stabilize annual energy and gas costs for a typical UK residence at or below the current level of £1,971," As a result of Russia's decision to shut off gas supplies to Europe in response to sanctions imposed in response to the invasion of Ukraine, she is under pressure to find a solution to increasing energy prices that are crushing individuals and businesses in the United Kingdom.

 

After the results were revealed, Truss declared, "I will submit a solid proposal to cut taxes and stimulate the economy." According to Reuters, UK prime ministerial candidate Truss stated, "I would resolve the energy crisis by tackling people's energy prices and our long-term energy supply problems."

 

Aside from that, her criticism of the BOE's slow response to the fight against inflation is well-known, which suggests that the "Old Lady," as the UK's central bank is often known, will increase interest rates more quickly.

 

The dollar's loss also contributes to the GBP/USD recovery, it should be noted. Despite this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.35 percent to 109.43 at press time, failing to justify higher US Treasury yields. In doing so, the dollar index versus the six major currencies extended its drop from yesterday's 20-year high.

 

The decrease in the DXY may also be attributable to the market's cautious optimism, as indicated by mildly optimistic stock futures, in anticipation that global authorities will be able to address the energy crisis. The recent reduction in hawkish Fed predictions, particularly in the wake of Friday's mixed US employment report, provides additional support for the GBP/USD recovery.

 

Alternatively, according to data released by payments provider Barclaycard on Tuesday, a decrease in Consumer Spending investigates the bears. The Financial Times said that "UK consumers cut spending on clothing, home improvement, and cosmetics in August, while business activity declined, a symptom of "collapsing" demand due to the escalating cost of living crisis" (FT).

 

Amid crowded markets, risk catalysts are likely to occupy pair traders in the future. Also essential will be the ISM Services PMI for August, which is predicted to be 55.5 as opposed to the prior reading of 56.7.