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October 13th - A quarterly survey released by the Bank of Japan on Tuesday showed that the proportion of Japanese households expecting prices to rise over the next year fell to 88.6% in September, down from 90.4% in June. The survey also showed that 86.5% of respondents expected prices to rise over the next five years, slightly higher than 86.1% in June. The data indicates that although short-term inflation expectations among Japanese households have declined, long-term inflation expectations remain at a high level.On October 13, Silvana Tenreiro, Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), stated that monetary policy should remain firmly focused on maintaining price stability given the continued risks of inflation. She said that central banks need to maintain a sufficiently tight policy stance to promptly push inflation back to target levels and prevent a second round of inflationary effects. Tenreiro pointed out that the transmission of rising commodity prices to core inflation is currently under control, but policymakers still need to remain vigilant. She stated that if rising commodity prices and factors related to technology investment further increase inflationary pressures, central banks will need to further tighten monetary policy. Tenreiro stated, “The appropriate policy stance will vary from country to country, but the goal is the same: to ensure price stability. Central bank independence remains crucial to achieving this goal.”Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: It is now crucial to stabilize inflation at 2%.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Potential inflation is close to 2%.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We will continue to closely monitor the bond market.

Gold Is Unchanged Before U.S. Inflation Data, While Copper Seeks Weekly Gains

Haiden Holmes

Dec 09, 2022 12:00

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Gold and copper prices fluctuated somewhat on Friday as investors dug in ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data due later in the day, as the red metal headed for a second straight week of rises on optimism that China may reduce COVID limits.


After recouping the majority of their early losses, bullion prices were anticipated to close the week little down, as recession fears spurred some investors to return to the yellow metal. The recent decline of the dollar has also benefited gold prices.


Spot gold varied about $1,789.43 per ounce, whilst gold futures stayed unchanged at $1,801.25 per ounce as of 18:56 ET (23:56 GMT). After falling to a low of $1,765.86 per ounce, it was anticipated that both assets would lose around 0.4% this week.


The November U.S. producer price index inflation data will be revealed later in the day. The expected decline from the previous month suggests that higher interest rates and tighter monetary conditions are having the desired effect.


In this scenario, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for a longer length of time, thus any indicators that inflation remained persistent over the month might result in more market losses. A number of market participants voiced fear that this might trigger a recession in 2023.


It is predicted that the PPI data will foretell a similar pattern in the carefully watched consumer price index, which will be released the following week.


As the potential cost of non-yielding assets grew, increasing interest rates exerted the most pressure on gold prices this year, knocking the metal off its yearly highs.


The path of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2023 will be primarily impacted by inflation, which stays well over the target range.


On Friday, other precious metals displayed little fluctuation. Futures for platinum climbed 0.1%, while futures for silver increased 0.2%.


Copper prices were stable among industrial metals, but were expected to grow for a second consecutive week due to confidence around China's economic recovery.


Copper Futures were trading near $3.8818 per pound and a 0.8% increase was anticipated this week.


This week, China announced the elimination of some anti-COVID movement restrictions and testing procedures, which led to an increase in the price of red metal. The move is anticipated to stimulate a recovery in the world's largest copper importer, based on market sentiment.


Given the nation's ongoing struggle with record-high infection rates, a wider reopening may take longer than expected.