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Spot silver opened lower but then rebounded, currently trading at $57 per ounce.Spot gold opened lower on Monday, briefly falling more than $10 before rebounding slightly to $4,161 per ounce.Yemen Conflict: 1. Fighting continues between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels around Taiz, Yemens third-largest city. 2. Saudi Arabia claims a helicopter crashed due to a "technical malfunction," killing two people. The Houthis claim to have shot down a Saudi AH-6i helicopter and released footage. 3. The Houthis claim Saudi Arabia launched 110 airstrikes in 24 hours, causing more than 30 casualties. US-Iran Conflict: 4. A tugboat was attacked by an "unidentified projectile" in waters northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE. 5. Irans Defense Minister warned the US against further strategic miscalculations. 6. Iran: Has developed contingency plans for possible new "adventurous actions." 7. Irans new Defense Minister responded to Trumps "Mother of All Bombs" threat: "Look how many US soldiers will be carried out of the area." Peace Negotiations: 1. Iranian Foreign Minister: The "reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 7 days" plan remains valid. 2. US Vice President Vance: This conflict cannot be considered over until Iran makes a firm commitment and guarantees not to rebuild its nuclear program. Other developments: 1. The Iranian parliament approved Ahraki as the new defense minister. 2. Direct flights resumed between Tehran, Iran and Muscat, Oman. 3. Russian Deputy Prime Minister: The Middle East crisis has caused global markets to lose 2.2 billion barrels of oil. 4. The Egyptian Presidential Palace: Egypt will provide Saudi Arabia with all necessary and feasible support. 5. Trump posted a message supporting Netanyahus re-election campaign as Israeli prime minister. 6. Arab-Israelis are attempting to oust Netanyahu in a close election. 7. CSIS: It will take at least three years for the US Patriot missile stockpile to return to pre-war levels. 8. Iran plans to establish a Persian Gulf Data Authority; providing resources to AI companies that support hacking and killing children will face law enforcement action. Turkeys energy minister said on Sunday that a second floating natural gas production platform will be put into operation in the first quarter of 2028, thereby increasing daily natural gas production in the Black Sea region to approximately 45 million cubic meters.According to the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA), Türkiye will receive a portion of the Russian diesel supply and plans to build a second Black Sea gas platform.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD extends advances after attracting bids near $1,650; yields target 4%

Alina Haynes

Oct 26, 2022 15:06

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The gold price (XAU/USD) has extended its advances to around $1,657.50 after a more robust recovery from $1,650.00, the key support level. Thursday's announcement of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data is anticipated to keep investors on the edge of their seats about the precious metal.

 

The risk profile exhibits conflicting responses as S&P500 futures seek a rebound following a large decline in Tokyo. The failure of the US dollar index (DXY) to sustain above the round-level resistance of 111.00 implies a drop in the appeal of safe-haven assets.

 

As investors have abandoned the risk-aversion thesis, the alpha generated by US Treasuries is seeking greater downside. The yields on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen below 4.10 percent, and the present downward momentum could weigh on future pressure.

 

On Thursday, the announcement of US GDP statistics is anticipated to cause extreme price volatility in gold. According to preliminary estimates, the US growth rate for the third quarter of CY 2022 is 2.4%, up from a previously reported negative rate of 0.6%.

 

After falling below the horizontal support established by Thursday's high of $1,640.55, gold prices have rebounded strongly on an hourly scale. The downward-sloping trendline drawn from the high of October 13 at $1,682.53 will act as significant resistance for gold prices going forward.

 

As the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the 40.00-60.00 zone, a sideways trend is anticipated for the precious metal in the future. Near $1,651.50, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is providing significant support for the currency.