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On October 16th, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated on Friday that he was surprised by the resilience of many G20 economies despite a series of geopolitical shocks the world has faced in recent months and the tightening of monetary policy by most central banks to combat inflation. Speaking at the 2026 IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok, Thailand, Warsh said, "We are facing common challenges and taking action, which I think is a positive development." He added, "I am optimistic that, while some may consider this overly naive, at least for the United States, we will emerge stronger from this shock, with more solid economic fundamentals and a greater capacity to lead global economic growth."On October 16th, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh announced that the Feds Productivity and Employment Task Force will hold an in-person hearing in the San Francisco Bay Area on November 16th, focusing on issues such as the impact of AI on the economy. Warsh announced this arrangement during the IMF annual meetings in Bangkok. He stated that the task force will delve into the impact of artificial intelligence on economic activity and the job market. In June, Warsh established five task forces comprised of external experts to study key areas in monetary policy formulation. He previously indicated that these task forces are expected to submit policy recommendations to the Fed around the end of this year. Warsh did not comment on monetary policy or the U.S. economic outlook at this hearing.JPMorgan Chase: Raises its price target for Morgan Stanley (MS.N) from $195 to $198.JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for Goldman Sachs (GS.N) from $955 to $970.Note: The fireside chat between Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh and IMF Managing Director Georgieva has ended.

River transportation issues limit US autumn grain and soy supply

Charlie Brooks

Oct 18, 2022 14:16

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Low river levels have impeded the movement of grain barges to export terminals, leading U.S. soybean exports to lag behind their normal autumnal pace despite an accelerated harvest and greater supply. Monday's release of Department of Agriculture (USDA) data.


According to weekly USDA data on export inspections, corn exports are likewise behind their normal harvest-time pace.


Low water levels on the Mississippi River and its tributaries have impeded the transportation of grain barges to Gulf Coast export terminals, where approximately sixty percent of U.S. agricultural exports are handled.


The most recent disruption in the supply chain happens at the start of the busiest time of year for U.S. crop exports, including the two most valuable cash crops, maize and soybeans.


To prevent groundings in rivers parched by drought, merchants have reduced barge tows by more than 40 percent and decreased the amount of grain loaded onto each barge. The Army Corps of Engineers has been dredging sections of the Mississippi and Ohio rivers to deepen their shipping channels.


Without extra precipitation, though, traders fear that Louisiana Gulf terminals won't be able to acquire enough grain to fulfill export contracts.


This week, according to the National Weather Service, the Mississippi River at Memphis, Tennessee, a choke point where dredging was halted for several days earlier this month, will reach its lowest level ever.


During the week ending October 6, the USDA reported that 1,882 million tonnes of soybeans were inspected for export, up from 976,877 tonnes the previous week but fewer than the 2,452 million tonnes inspected during the same period last year. Terminals on the Louisiana Gulf evaluated only 32% of this tonnage, and season-to-date inspections were 23% lower than the previous year.


Compared to the previous year, when 1.04 million tonnes of maize were inspected, only 448,423 tonnes were inspected last week. Through this point in the season, inspections were down 21%.

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