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On October 15th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kazakowski stated that, faced with multiple conflicting forces in the global economy, the ECB has the time to analyze inflation trends without immediately taking interest rate action. In an interview, the Latvian central bank governor pointed out that continued rises in oil and gas prices are expected to keep consumer price increases high, but the recent sell-off in government bonds may also begin to dampen economic activity. Kazakowski, who is attending the IMF annual meetings in Bangkok, Thailand, said, “My feeling is that inflationary pressures will continue to prevail in the short term. Therefore, the direction of monetary policy is clear, even if there is no need to rush to adjust interest rates at present. We are not behind the times, and in that sense, we are in a favorable position.” Kazakowski emphasized that the upside risks to inflation “still outweigh the downside risks to economic growth.” However, he noted that the threats to economic growth “may exhibit a more pronounced non-linear characteristic.” He said, “The trade-offs facing monetary policy will become increasingly complex. So far, decisions have been relatively easy, but there is currently a great deal of uncertainty, and the predictability of future developments is very low.”On October 15th, former European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi stated that the ECB is unlikely to provide aid to France through market intervention in the short term. The former central bank governor, who led the Eurozones response to the sovereign debt crisis, said on Thursday that the Eurozone is still far from a repeat of that crisis, and the current economic environment means that the likelihood of the ECB intervening in France remains low. Speaking at an economic forum in New Delhi, Draghi said, "The threshold for intervention is very high." He pointed out that during the Eurozone debt crisis, the Eurozone faced more deflationary pressures, "or at least inflation was only slightly above zero." Now, "inflation is high and still rising. I think the ECBs primary task remains fulfilling its mandate to maintain price stability."Spanish Prime Minister Sánchez: We disagree with the current EU budget plan; it is insufficient.On Thursday, October 15, the Hang Seng Index closed down 251.45 points, or 1.03%, at 24,062.72; the Hang Seng Tech Index closed down 113.48 points, or 2.72%, at 4,060.99; the H-share Index closed down 79.9 points, or 0.98%, at 8,103.27; and the Red Chip Index closed down 41.47 points, or 1.02%, at 4,022.58.Bank of England Deputy Governor Briden: The businesses Ive spoken to are talking about cutting costs rather than dealing with energy price shocks.

Soybeans Rise With A Thin Cover, As Do Wheat And Corn

Charlie Brooks

Nov 02, 2022 14:40

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Traders reported a nearly 2% surge in U.S. soybean futures on Tuesday, driven by short-covering as the U.S. harvest winds down, optimism for export sales to China, and concern over the availability of South American supplies.


Wheat futures rebounded from early declines as traders focused on the unpredictability of grain supplies from the Black Sea export corridor and crop concerns in the Southern Hemisphere. Corn followed the hardness trend.


After reaching a contract high of $14.49 per bushel on September 23, the January contract for soybeans closed up 28-1/4 cents at $14.47-3/4 per bushel.


CBOT Wheat for December finished at $9.02-1/2 per bushel, an increase of 20-1/4 cents, while corn for December closed at $6.97-3/4 per bushel, an increase of 6-1/4 cents.


As a result of chart-driven purchasing, the benchmark January contract for soybeans rose beyond its October trading range.


"We are chasing out a lot of shorts with this move," said Terry Linn, an analyst with Linn and Associates in Chicago, adding that obstructions by protesters in Brazil, the largest soy exporter in the world, were also cause for concern.


The principal entry road to Brazil's Paranagua port, the country's second-busiest for grain exports, remained blocked by protestors on Tuesday, as supporters of outgoing Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro demonstrated over his narrow election loss to the left-leaning Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.


Linn noted, "there was concern that this could persist and have a severe impact on agricultural flows and exports."


The outlook for soy output in Brazil remains optimistic. StoneX commodity brokerage raised its 2022/23 soybean crop forecast from 153.8 million tonnes to 154.35 million tonnes.


According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, as of October 30, 88% of the crop has been harvested. The corn harvest was 76% complete.


Concerns about the future of grain exports from war-torn Ukraine pushed CBOT wheat prices to their highest level in two weeks. According to industry insiders, insurers no longer issue new cargo insurance coverage for Black Sea exports via a U.N.-backed safe corridor after Russia's withdrawal from the corridor.


In the meantime, the Argentine government is ready to announce measures that will allow wheat exporters to delay shipments following the devastation of the harvest by a severe drought.


Additionally, dry conditions have affected the 2023 winter wheat harvest in the United States. Monday, the USDA rated 28% of the crop as good to excellent, the lowest percentage for this time of year since records began in 1987.