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Conflict Status: 1. A drone attack caused a fire at an oil terminal in St. Petersburg, Russia. 2. Ozon, a Russian e-commerce platform, reported a fire at a logistics hub in St. Petersburg following a drone attack. 3. The governor of St. Petersburg Oblast, Russia, stated that a Ukrainian drone attack resulted in one death and five injuries. 4. Attacks on energy facilities in multiple Ukrainian regions led to power outages. 5. Zelenskyy stated that since the "energy ceasefire," Ukraines oil and gas industry has suffered 76 attacks. 6. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported hitting a cargo ship near Odessa, Ukraine. Peace Negotiations: 1. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that he is discussing a peace conference with US Presidential Envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Kushner. 2. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy does not want to negotiate and has repeatedly sabotaged negotiations. 3. Trump stated that he does not want to take actions to remove Russia from the negotiating table, and Zelenskyy does not want to end the war. Other Developments: 1. Rubio stated that Ukraine has never been granted access to StarShield. 2. Ukrainian fuel prices have increased by 46.2% in one year. 3. British media: Russias shadow fleet is suspected of using coordinated positioning to conceal its Black Sea routes. 4. Russian Deputy Prime Minister: Russia consumes 3.5 to 4 million tons of diesel fuel monthly and has a surplus available for export. 5. Ukrainian President Zelensky: Intelligence sharing between Ukraine and the US has resumed operation. 6. Zelensky accuses US President Trump of attempting to pressure Kyiv to surrender to Russia.Spot silver opened lower but then rebounded, currently trading at $57 per ounce.Spot gold opened lower on Monday, briefly falling more than $10 before rebounding slightly to $4,161 per ounce.Yemen Conflict: 1. Fighting continues between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels around Taiz, Yemens third-largest city. 2. Saudi Arabia claims a helicopter crashed due to a "technical malfunction," killing two people. The Houthis claim to have shot down a Saudi AH-6i helicopter and released footage. 3. The Houthis claim Saudi Arabia launched 110 airstrikes in 24 hours, causing more than 30 casualties. US-Iran Conflict: 4. A tugboat was attacked by an "unidentified projectile" in waters northeast of Khor Fakkan, UAE. 5. Irans Defense Minister warned the US against further strategic miscalculations. 6. Iran: Has developed contingency plans for possible new "adventurous actions." 7. Irans new Defense Minister responded to Trumps "Mother of All Bombs" threat: "Look how many US soldiers will be carried out of the area." Peace Negotiations: 1. Iranian Foreign Minister: The "reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 7 days" plan remains valid. 2. US Vice President Vance: This conflict cannot be considered over until Iran makes a firm commitment and guarantees not to rebuild its nuclear program. Other developments: 1. The Iranian parliament approved Ahraki as the new defense minister. 2. Direct flights resumed between Tehran, Iran and Muscat, Oman. 3. Russian Deputy Prime Minister: The Middle East crisis has caused global markets to lose 2.2 billion barrels of oil. 4. The Egyptian Presidential Palace: Egypt will provide Saudi Arabia with all necessary and feasible support. 5. Trump posted a message supporting Netanyahus re-election campaign as Israeli prime minister. 6. Arab-Israelis are attempting to oust Netanyahu in a close election. 7. CSIS: It will take at least three years for the US Patriot missile stockpile to return to pre-war levels. 8. Iran plans to establish a Persian Gulf Data Authority; providing resources to AI companies that support hacking and killing children will face law enforcement action. Turkeys energy minister said on Sunday that a second floating natural gas production platform will be put into operation in the first quarter of 2028, thereby increasing daily natural gas production in the Black Sea region to approximately 45 million cubic meters.

S&P 500 Prices Forecast – Stock Market Pulls Back

Alice Wang

Nov 01, 2022 16:16

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has slightly declined during Monday's trading session as a result of the recent high level of volatility. We also need to be concerned about the Wednesday session since the Federal Reserve will be discussing interest rates that day, which means there will be a lot of volatility and commotion in the area.


The Federal Reserve's announcement on Wednesday will be closely watched by the S&P 500 and market participants as they attempt to determine whether or not they will continue to tighten monetary policy or whether they will slow down. There is a lot of optimism that they would slow down, but at this point, there is really no reason for it.


The 50-Day EMA is below and is still indicating market significance; it should now provide a large level of support. In the end, this market is still quite loud in my opinion. I will be paying great watch to the 3800 level, which has generated substantial resistance, so it shouldn't come as a major surprise if there is market memory there.


The market is still exhibiting a lot of noisy behavior, and once that announcement is made at the end of the day on Wednesday, I predict that there will be a lot of back-and-forth trading as investors attempt to predict whether or not Jerome Powell would cut down the pace of raises. To be honest, I don't think he will, and I think there could be a lot of disappointment.