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On October 12, Politico reported that a group of bipartisan senators called on President Trump to "immediately change course" and rescind his decision to allow the import of Russian diesel fuel. They accused the administration of violating federal law and providing Moscow with an economic lifeline at a time when Russia is waging military action against Ukraine. In a statement released Sunday, the senators pointed out that Congress had passed a ban in 2022 prohibiting the import of Russian energy; and that "President Trumps decision to allow the import of Russian diesel fuel into the United States directly violates that law." The statement also said, "The administration has also failed to consult Congress or provide any explanation for its decision as required by law." The critics include four Republicans—Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Tom Tillis, and John Curtis—and Democratic senators—Jenny Shaheen, Richard Blumenthal, and Ron Wyden. Shaheen is the highest-ranking Democratic member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.Former US Vice President Harris: The culprit behind soaring diesel and gasoline prices in the US is Trump and his war against Iran. His latest tactic—selling fuel solutions to his ally Putin—demonstrates weakness; it funds Russian military operations but does nothing to ease the burden on American families.October 12th - According to CMEs "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 81.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 18.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 15.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 69.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.7%.The notice indicates that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is urging U.S. airlines to exercise caution when flying to or over Saudi Arabia.On October 12th, local time, the UK Maritime Trade Operations Office (UKMTO) issued a notification stating that an oil tanker was attacked by a drone near its anchorage in Sohar, Oman, on October 11th. The notification stated that the UKMTO initially received a report of a security incident involving an oil tanker. It was subsequently confirmed that the tanker was attacked by a drone, and the UKMTO has officially classified the incident as an "attack incident." Local authorities are currently assisting with the evacuation of the crew. The extent of the damage to the tanker and the potential environmental impact of the incident are still unclear, and the incident is still under investigation.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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