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On October 16th, the S&P 500 was essentially flat on Friday. While market concerns persist about the sustainability of the AI investment boom, signs that the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates unchanged this month boosted investor sentiment. However, the Nasdaq 100 fell 1%. Concerns about the AI ecosystem continued to weigh on tech stocks after a sharp drop in shares of cloud computing service provider CoreWeave. Andrew Tyler, global head of market intelligence at JPMorgan Chase, said, "Fed Chairman Warshs speech at the IMF last night reinforced market expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in October. We are still looking for selective buying opportunities on dips." Market concerns about how long the AI boom can last have led to continued volatility in related stocks. Much of the pressure on Wall Street comes from global bond yields hovering near 20-year highs, pushing up financing costs and raising concerns about the resilience of AI spending. Tech companies are particularly vulnerable to rising interest rates because many companies valuations rely on expected profits that wont be realized for many years to come.On October 16, a drone strike targeted an industrial facility in the Surgut region of western Siberia, Russia. The region is home to several oil and gas facilities. Ruslan Kukharuk, governor of the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, stated that the attack caused a fire at a facility in Surgut, located more than 2,130 kilometers northeast of Moscow. Kukharuk said, “Emergency personnel have arrived on the scene, and experts are assessing the scale and nature of the damage.” However, he did not disclose the name of the attacked facility. This attack came after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ordered the resumption of strikes against Russian oil refineries. This followed escalating tensions between the two countries following President Trump’s restrictions on intelligence support to Ukraine. In an interview published Thursday in the Financial Times, Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine had suspended its attacks for three days in response to Trump’s call for an “energy ceasefire” on Sunday, but has now decided to end the suspension.Russia claims it hit a cargo ship in the Black Sea.The Saudi-led coalition intercepted three drones south of Riyadh.The Saudi-led coalition said it had intercepted and destroyed two cruise missiles over the Red Sea.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.