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U.S. Central Command: Over the past seven months, in addition to U.S. Navy warships, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has continued to indiscriminately target thousands of civilian crew members passing through the regions waters.On October 15th, according to Tasnim News Agency, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf stated: "Even if we negotiate with the United States, reach an agreement, and sign a document with commitments from the US, can we guarantee that the US will not attack Iran again? Undoubtedly, the answer is no. Simply relying on war and escalating tensions cannot force the enemy to abandon its threats and established objectives. The solution is to both fight and negotiate to establish a lasting deterrent. We must fight with all our might when necessary, transforming military victories into political victories, and securing the benefits, resources, and time needed to strengthen our power. We must replace the cycle of war, negotiation, and peace with a new model of war, negotiation, and deterrence. Before signing the memorandum of understanding, I said that the US would not fulfill its commitments, therefore we designed it in two phases. We first gained a strategic advantage through fighting, and then forced the US to accept the understanding. Our strategy of both fighting and negotiating does not mean endless war or perpetual negotiations, but rather using fighting to trap the enemy and force them to accept the legitimate demands of the Iranian people. Regarding the US proposal, the US president previously made commitments, but has now broken them." The United States must be punished, change its behavior, and fully recognize that it must accept the legitimate demands of the Iranian people.On October 15th, former Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov stated that Starlink is resuming connectivity services for devices traveling at speeds not exceeding 160 km/h, but completely removing the speed limit on Starshield is crucial for Ukraines defense, and he called on Elon Musk to continue providing support. Musk subsequently responded that the Starshield system is owned and controlled by the US government, and any speed or usage restrictions are decided by the US military, with the final decision resting with US President Trump. Musk also emphasized that Starlink is a commercial service owned and controlled by SpaceX, permitted only for civilian or defensive activities, and not for offensive military operations, as commercial companies involvement in such operations is inappropriate.Federal Reserves Goolsby: He doesnt like revealing the Feds intentions before meetings.According to Tasnim News Agency: Houthi rebels in Yemen attacked Saudi Aramcos oil distribution facilities in northern Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

USD/CHF Continues Fed-Induced Declines Toward 0.9020 Support; Central Banks and US NFP in Focus

Daniel Rogers

Feb 02, 2023 16:13

During Thursday's Asian session, USD/CHF remained depressed at the lowest levels since August 2021 as bears enjoy a three-day slump near 0.9065. The Swiss Franc (CHF) pair extends its losses triggered by the US Federal Reserve as market participants expect the main central bank decision and January employment statistics.

 

The USD/CHF retested a multi-day low the day before in response to dismal US data and the Fed's dovish rate hike.

 

Despite the fact that the Fed matched market expectations by raising the benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points, the statement that inflation "has eased but remains high" impacted on the U.S. currency.

 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's statement that "We may pronounce that a deflationary process has begun" contributed to the depreciation of the US usd. In addition, the policymaker acknowledges the need for a rate cut by the end of 2023 if inflation decreases much faster than projected. Powell of the Federal Reserve stated that a couple more rate hikes are still required to achieve this.

 

Elsewhere, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to its lowest level since June 2020, reaching 47.4 in January compared to the forecasted 48.0 and the prior reading of 48. In addition, the ADP Employment Change dropped to a one-year low with 106K, compared to the 178K market forecast and the upwardly revised previous figure of 253K. In contrast, the number of JOLTS Job Openings grew to 11.01 million in December, exceeding both the average estimate of 10.25 million and the previous figure of 10.44 million.

 

Wall Street soared against this backdrop as 10-year US Treasury yields fell the most in two weeks. Note that benchmark interest rates are licking their wounds near 3.41 percent, while S&P 500 Futures are showing slight increases as of press time.

 

Prior to the monetary policy meetings of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England, USD/CHF traders should pay attention to market movements affected by these central banks (BoE). However, significant attention should be paid to Friday's US Employment report. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is expected to decline to 185K from 223K earlier, will be an important indicator to track.