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October 12th - TSMC, the worlds largest advanced AI chip foundry, will release its third-quarter financial report on Thursday. Widely predicted, driven by the AI boom, TSMC is poised to achieve its sixth consecutive quarter of record-high profits. LSEG SmartEstimate, compiling forecasts from 16 analysts, indicates that TSMCs third-quarter net profit is expected to surge 65% year-on-year to NT$746.3 billion (US$23.4 billion). If net profit exceeds NT$706.56 billion, it will set a new record for the companys single-quarter net profit, marking its 11th consecutive quarter of profit growth. Last Thursday, TSMC released preliminary data showing that its third-quarter revenue reached NT$1.49 trillion (approximately US$46.7 billion), a 51% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations and setting a new record.October 12th - According to data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), passenger vehicle exports (including complete vehicles and CKD kits) reached 917,000 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 73.7% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2%, accounting for 36% of passenger vehicle manufacturers sales (38% in the previous month, and 19% in the same period of 2025). New energy vehicles accounted for 60.8% of total exports in September, a significant increase of 21 percentage points compared to the same period last year. Exports of domestic brands reached 812,000 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 75%; exports of joint venture and luxury brands reached 105,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 62%.October 12th - According to data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.666 million units in September, a year-on-year increase of 11.3% and a month-on-month increase of 10.0%; from January to September, wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 11.448 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%. Wholesale sales of conventional fuel-powered passenger vehicles reached 880,000 units in September, a year-on-year decrease of 32% and a month-on-month increase of 5%.China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) reported that retail sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.084 million units in September, a year-on-year decrease of 16.7%.On October 12th, many users reported issues with DeepSeeks chat function, with the page repeatedly displaying "server busy" and "message being generated," preventing normal conversations and sparking heated discussions. DeepSeeks official service status page indicated a "partial interruption" in the chat service, with the official team investigating the cause. After investigation, the page stated "service restored." However, third-party monitoring platforms showed that the outage began this morning and was still ongoing at the time of writing, primarily affecting the web/app chat service. Affected users are advised to try again later or check the official status page for the latest updates.

WTI corrects below $77.00 as buyers grow nervous ahead of the Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Daniel Rogers

Mar 01, 2023 11:42

After encountering stiffer resistance above $77.50 in the late New York session, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange have sharply reversed. As investors wait for the Caixin Manufacturing PMI data to be released, the oil price has fallen to $76.60 and is expected to remain on edge.

 

There is no disputing that international organizations and investment banking firms are optimistic about a strong economic rebound in China following the administration's dismantling of pandemic controls following a three-year lockdown. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has pledged a complete recovery in domestic demand through expansionary monetary policy, so China's post-pandemic period is anticipated to be robust.

 

Investors are anxiously awaiting February's figures after being taken aback by January's disappointingly low Caixin Manufacturing PMI data. A prolonged period of negativity would be detrimental to the market's oil prices. In general, investors continue to be risk cautious as they anticipate a bleak future due to aggressive Western central banks. And the current low Manufacturing PMI for China will make investors' risk aversion even worse.

 

The majority predicts that IHS Markit will issue the Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 50.2, up from the previous release of 49.2.

 

In addition to the Caixin Manufacturing PMI, the United States Energy Information Administration's (EIA) oil inventory data for the week concluding February 24 will be closely monitored.

 

Despite being smaller than the previous release of nearly 10 million barrels, US American Petroleum on Tuesday reported a massive stockpile of oil stockpiles of 6.20 million barrels. For the past three months, oil inventories have been steadily growing, pointing to a sharp drop in global consumption.