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According to Politico: Microsoft President Brad Smith dismissed US Vice President Vances allegations of visa fraud, calling them "completely untrue."On October 15th, Pan Gongsheng pointed out that escalating geopolitical conflicts remain the biggest uncertainty for the global economy. Significant fluctuations in some countries sovereign debt markets and the risk of valuation corrections in AI-related assets have exacerbated financial vulnerability. Promoting the modernization of financial regulation does not equate to relaxing regulation, and should not undermine the stability and risk resilience of the financial system. All parties should make full use of the G20 financial cooperation platform to strengthen macroeconomic policy coordination and jointly address global risks and challenges. Regarding global imbalances, all parties should have a more comprehensive analytical perspective. We cannot only look at the current account; we must also pay attention to financial channels, especially as global financial integration deepens, and we should pay more attention to the impact of financial factors such as capital flows on imbalances. Global imbalances cannot be addressed through exchange rate adjustments. Exchange rates are affected by a variety of factors, including economic growth, monetary policy, financial markets, geopolitics, and unforeseen risk events, and do not have a simple linear relationship with the current account. Deficit and surplus countries should work together to achieve a dynamic balance in the global economy.On October 15th, at the JD.com 11.11 launch event, it was announced that JD.com will create the 11.11 shopping festival with the deepest AI applications and the widest coverage of scenarios this year. Data shows that JD.coms JoyAvatar digital human, available 24/7 online, has served over 90,000 merchants this year, with the number of merchants using digital human live streams increasing by 340% year-on-year.The Gulf Cooperation Council announced that the Gulf-EU summit has been rescheduled due to Houthi attacks.On October 15th, Tmall held a press conference for its Double 11 shopping festival. Tmall President Jialuo stated in a media interview that Double 11 cannot revert to its original form of simply offering a 50% discount across the entire platform. He explained that the original Double 11 format primarily involved selling limited-quantity items. Now that it has become an event with hundreds of millions of consumers and millions of merchants participating, Double 11s focus is not on 50% discounts, but on merchants offering the lowest genuine discounts of the year.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD struggles to extend gains on encouraging ADP Employment data from the United States

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:12

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After falling to almost $1,825.00 during the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has tried a recovery. The precious metal is battling to continue its rebound as robust United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has prompted the risk of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rate stability for an extended duration.

 

S&P500 suffered a major sell-off from the market participants, displaying a risk-aversion theme, as bigger additions of fresh payrolls in the United States job market will require the Fed to sustain its aggressive position on interest rates for a longer term. This has also caused a possibility of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) jumped to 235K in contrast to the predicted 150K and the previous release of 127K. In addition, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) have decreased to 204K compared to the expected 225K.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a roaring rally after sustaining above the important resistance of 104.00 and rose to reach 105.00. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields detected demand and rose to approximately 3.72 percent.

 

Investors will closely monitor Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. After noticing optimistic signals from ADP Employment Change, it is quite likely that the US NFP will report data that exceeds expectations. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.